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Why Did Nick Scali Shares Sink Despite Strong Profit Growth-Are Investors Worried About UK Sales?

Source: Kapitales Research

Highlights:

  • Shares fell sharply despite a 36% rise in group net profit after tax.
  • Strong ANZ performance was offset by weaker UK revenue and ongoing losses.
  • Company declared a 39-cent interim dividend and plans further store expansion.

Market reacts sharply to mixed regional performance

Nick Scali Limited (ASX: NCK) came under heavy selling pressure after releasing its half-year results for the period ended 31 December 2025, with the stock dropping about 18.3% at the time of writing as investors focused on softer-than-expected sales trends in Australia and New Zealand despite strong profit growth. The furniture retailer reported group revenue of $269.3 million for H1 FY26, up 7.2% year-on-year, while statutory net profit after tax climbed to $41.0 million. Earnings growth was supported by improved gross margins and solid performance in its core ANZ business, although market sentiment turned cautious following weaker revenue from its UK operations.

ANZ growth overshadowed by UK challenges

The Australia and New Zealand segment delivered strong momentum, with revenue rising 13.1% to $251.7 million and net profit after tax increasing to $46.6 million. Written sales orders also improved during the period, reflecting steady demand and pricing strength. However, the UK division reported revenue of $17.6 million, significantly lower than the prior year due to prolonged store closures linked to refurbishment and rebranding programs. The segment posted a net loss after tax of $5.6 million, which weighed on investor sentiment despite management highlighting early signs of progress from rebranded stores.

Dividend boost and expansion plans ahead

Nick Scali declared a fully franked interim dividend of 39 cents per share, up 30% year-on-year, underscoring confidence in cash generation and profitability. The company also plans to expand its store network, targeting new openings across ANZ and further growth opportunities in the UK market.

Although the company delivered strong earnings growth and margin improvement, recent media coverage shows the results have already been reported by financial outlets, with many highlighting the contrast between robust ANZ performance and ongoing UK investment risks. As investors weigh growth prospects against short-term pressures in international markets, the sharp share price reaction suggests the market may be prioritising future earnings visibility over headline profit gains.

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