IDP Education Faces 9% Stock Decline Following Canadas Student Visa Limits

Jan 23, 2024

Highlights:

  • IDP Education shares dip by 8.5% as Canada restricts student visas, raising concerns about the company's volumes.
  • Analysts note that IDP's focus on higher education might offer partial insulation, but an overall market decline poses challenges.
  • Canada's influence on IDP's IELTS business, constituting 40-50% of volumes, underlines the company's sensitivity to changes in international student policies.

Market Impact on Student Recruitment Company

IDP Education (ASX: IDP) a leading student recruitment and English-language testing company, witnessed an 8.5% drop in shares as of 11:25 am AEDT after Canada implemented changes to its acceptance of international students. Goldman Sachs suggests that these alterations may impact the company's volumes significantly.

Resilience Amidst Challenges

Analyst Chris Gawler commented in a broker's note that IDP Education's focus on bachelor's degrees and higher education could provide some insulation against the overall market impact. However, he acknowledged that a decline of the proposed magnitude in the market would be challenging to completely avoid.

IELTS Business and Canada's Influence

Gawler highlighted the potential negative impact on the IELTS business, estimating that Canada constitutes approximately 40% to 50% of IDP Education's IELTS volumes. Any reduction in study applications for Canada due to the imposed cap is expected to affect the company.

Repeat of Market Fallout

This development recalls IDP Education's previous stock plummet of AU$1.1 billion on May 29, triggered by Canada's announcement of opening its market for English tests to competitors. The current decline reflects the company's vulnerability to changes in international student policies and highlights the significance of the Canadian market in its overall business landscape.

Future Outlook

As IDP Education navigates the challenges posed by Canada's revised student visa policies, industry observers and investors are keenly watching for the company's strategic responses and adjustments to mitigate potential financial repercussions.

 

 

Customer Notice:

Nextgen Global Services Pty Ltd trading as Kapitales Research (ABN 89 652 632 561) is a Corporate Authorised Representative (CAR No. 1293674) of Enva Australia Pty Ltd (AFSL 424494). The information contained in this website is general information only. Any advice is general advice only. No consideration has been given or will be given to the individual investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular person. The decision to invest or trade and the method selected is a personal decision and involves an inherent level of risk, and you must undertake your own investigations and obtain your own advice regarding the suitability of this product for your circumstances. Please be aware that all trading activity is subject to both profit & loss and may not be suitable for you. The past performance of this product is not and should not be taken as an indication of future performance.

Kapitales Research, Level 13, Suite 1A, 465 Victoria Ave, Chatswood, NSW 2067, Australia | 1800 005 780 | info@kapitales.com