Gold Prices Decline Amid Rising US Treasury Yields and Job Market Anticipation

Dec 06, 2024

Highlights:

Gold Prices Slide: Spot gold fell 0.7% to $US2,630.30 ($4,075.46) per ounce, while gold futures dropped 1% to $US2,648.40, impacted by rising US Treasury yields at the time of writing.

Treasury Yields Rise: Benchmark US 10-year Treasury yields increased by 0.3%, diminishing the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold.

Focus on Payroll Data: Investors await Friday’s US non-farm payrolls report, expected to show a 200,000 job increase, for clues on the Federal Reserve's interest rate trajectory.

Spot Gold and Futures See Declines

Gold prices edged lower on Thursday, with spot gold slipping 0.7% to $US2,630.30 ($4,075.46) per ounce and gold futures dropping 1% to $US2,648.40 at the time of writing. The decline was attributed to firming US Treasury yields following the release of weekly jobless claims data.

Treasury Yields and yy Data Impact Gold

Benchmark US 10-year Treasury yields rose by 0.3%, weighing on non-yielding assets like gold. Higher yields tend to reduce the appeal of gold as a safe-haven investment. The weekly jobless claims report indicated a robust labor market, bolstering expectations of continued economic resilience.

Focus Shifts to Non-Farm Payrolls

Investor attention now turns to Friday’s non-farm payrolls data, which is anticipated to offer further insights into the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates. Economists expect the US economy to have added 200,000 jobs in November, a significant increase compared to the modest gain of 12,000 in October. The data will be crucial in determining whether the Federal Reserve will maintain its current interest rate levels or consider cuts in the near term.

Market Sentiment Remains Cautious

Gold prices have remained sensitive to economic indicators and Federal Reserve policy outlooks. Any surprises in the labor market data could prompt volatility in both bond and precious metals markets. Investors are likely to maintain a cautious stance until more clarity emerges on the central bank's rate path.

Gold’s recent dip highlights its ongoing struggle against a backdrop of rising yields and economic uncertainty. As the non-farm payrolls release approaches, market participants will closely analyze its implications for future monetary policy.

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