Market Alert: ASX200 at Critical Support – Reversal or Further Fall?
Highlights:
The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has reported a 3.6% increase in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the year ending April 2024. This marks a slight rise from the 3.5% annual increase observed in March, maintaining relatively stable inflation over the past five months.
Key Contributors to Inflation
The most significant contributors to the annual rise in CPI include Housing, which saw a 4.9% increase. Within this category, rents surged by 7.5% due to tight rental markets and low vacancy rates. New dwelling prices also climbed by 4.9%, as builders passed higher labor and material costs onto consumers. Electricity prices went up by 4.2%, although the Energy Bill Relief Fund rebates have mitigated the impact of these hikes. Without the rebates, electricity prices would have risen by 13.9%.
Food and Transport Costs
Food and non-alcoholic beverages saw an annual increase of 3.8%, driven by unfavorable weather conditions that reduced the supply of fruits and vegetables, such as berries, bananas, lettuce, and broccoli. Transport prices rose by 4.2%, with automotive fuel prices increasing by 7.4% compared to the previous year. Fuel prices alone increased by 2.2% in April, marking the third consecutive monthly rise.
Underlying Inflation
When excluding volatile items like automotive fuel and fruit and vegetables, the annual rise in CPI to April was steady at 4.1%. This indicates that underlying inflation remains higher than the headline CPI.
Stable Yet Rising
Michelle Marquardt, ABS Head of Prices Statistics, noted that while inflation has been stable over recent months, the slight increase in April reflects ongoing pressures in various sectors. The housing sector, food prices, and transportation costs remain the primary drivers of inflation, underscoring the complex economic environment facing Australia.
The ABS's latest data underscores the continuing challenges in managing inflationary pressures, with particular emphasis on the volatile costs of essential commodities and services.
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Nextgen Global Services Pty Ltd trading as Kapitales Research (ABN 89 652 632 561) is a Corporate Authorised Representative (CAR No. 1293674) of Enva Australia Pty Ltd (AFSL 424494). The information contained in this website is general information only. Any advice is general advice only. No consideration has been given or will be given to the individual investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular person. The decision to invest or trade and the method selected is a personal decision and involves an inherent level of risk, and you must undertake your own investigations and obtain your own advice regarding the suitability of this product for your circumstances. Please be aware that all trading activity is subject to both profit & loss and may not be suitable for you. The past performance of this product is not and should not be taken as an indication of future performance.